金钱游戏（Money game)或是庞氏骗局(Ponzi Shceme)，有些人也叫金字塔游戏，就是类似中国盛行的传销。所谓金钱游戏是因为参加的人们不用买卖货物，只用金钱就足以“钱滚钱”。金钱游戏的噱头不外乎:

• 投入一定数目的本金，在特定的时候可以好几倍的价格连本带利拿回来。低风险，高收入。
• 鼓吹人拉人的无极限的单向性增长。比如说每拉一个人做下线，就能从他的本金里抽成。下线再不断的发展下线，你就在家躺着都有钱赚了。

几乎有点金融常识的人都知道这是违背投资周期的影响的，完全不可行的，崩盘只是时间问题。金钱游戏赢钱的为一法门就是尽早入场，制定目标，捞了一笔后在崩盘以前全身而退。

Money games/Ponzi scheme is so popular with some obvious characteristics:

• Low risk, high return. Invest a certain amount and get double or more back after a certain period.
• Pyramid payment mode by pulling more people in to become your downline.Whatever they contribute into the game you get a commission.

We knew this business model wouldn’t last long however there is a way to win if you are the early gamer, and quit before the collapse.

开始金钱游戏 Join a money game

2016年7月，我一个哥们介绍了了我一个新开发的金钱游戏。游戏的方式是投入固定数目的资金，每个星期都有机会被系统抽中，然后就得到双倍回酬。游戏本身起源于马来西亚，所以资金也是以马币为主。我们三人组成小组进行融资，游戏便正式开始了。虽然过程中的种种担心受怕让我觉得其实这快钱赚得也并不容易，但那是另一个故事了，表过不提。

到后来游戏崩盘之前，鉴于法币流动会收银行监视，而金钱游戏本身也是非法集资的一种。所主办方就开始把法币转成比特币，当时还有‘热心’的上线们忙着举办各种讲座科普什么是比特币，如何注册交易所和建立个人钱包。当时的我很早就听过比特币，但一直没有足够的动力去研究这神奇科技，不然现在很可能都退休了。当下依然还是觉得要学习那么多的东西，实在是太麻烦了，只是草草的注册了一个交易所和网上钱包，然后继续使用马币在游戏里运转。

July 2016, me and my friend form a small team to join a newly started money game which was conducted in Malaysian Ringgit. And the game evolved to switch from fiat currency to Bitcoin to avoid monitor from the banks. After all money game was sort of illegal fund-raising. I was too lazy to study this new technology and just simply registered an account on an exchange which introduced by the game master.

第一次正式拥有比特币 The first time to own Bitcoin

首遇比特币 First bitcoin for me

2016年9月，游戏正式崩盘。我们小组之前放出去的资金有很大部分都拿不回来了。我最后一个收到的记得是代表600马币的 0.28723400 BTC，第一次正式拥有比特币。当时也不当一回事，因为600马币对我们最后所发放出去的资金总数来说只是很小的一部分。心痛收不回的资金对游戏的心寒，我们把两三个月里的本金和利润均分然后就解散了。我也渐渐忘记了留在那交易所的‘一点点’比特币，继续生活。

September 2016, the money game is finally crashed. Most of our last batch of an outgoing fund is not coming back anymore. The last payment from the system was 0.28723400 BTC which was equal to RM600 at the time. We split the fund together with the earnings and call it an end. I thought the Bitcoin that left on the exchange is just ‘tiny’ compared to our lost fund, so I just let them be staying on the wallet and life goes on.

Bitcoin price from Spectember 2016 to April 2017

2017年4月，开始在各种新闻和社交网站上再度听到比特币的名头。原因好像是比特币状态大勇，涨了不少。记得还读到一则有些在北京的年轻人专门靠交易比特币为生的新闻。他们年入百万，似乎就是全职搞这个的，当时中国交易所应该还是零手续费的时代吧。这时比特币让我越来越好奇了，决定好好研究一下这到底是什么玩意。同时也想起了我留在那交易所的比特币，查一查价格。0.28BTC等于1200马币？印象中应该没有这么多啊。

后来再三确认，发现当初价值600（200美金）的比特币半年之后已经变成了1200（400美金）！ WTF！

April 2017, I started hearing about Bitcoin again from various source of information. Mainly due to the price spiking and how people make tons of money from it. I remembered the tiny amount of BTC I left on the exchange, logged in to make sure they are still there. And I proceeded to check the value, only to find out 0.28 BTC has become RM1200 worth.

Something that worth RM600($200) doubled to RM1200($400) within half a year! I was blown away.

于是我正式进入了虚拟货币的世界 I decided to study more of it

听到某某资产增值是一回事，实际感受自己的资产增值又是另一回事。由于比特币的短时间暴力大涨带给我的震撼太大，自此我就开始不断地学习和研究关于这科技的一切，从区块链到各种小众货币（Altcoins），实在是收获良多。这段日子学习了很多之前压根不会接触到知识，比如地域性搬砖需要知道当地相关的金融法规和条例。最重要的是，明白了开明的学习态度的重要性。Steemit的出现真的很合时宜，可以从各路高手的文章中汲取资讯的同时也可养成写作的好习惯。

金钱游戏不可取，过程中可能会毁灭你的人际网，最后还很可能血本无归。有过那一次不美好的经验，决不会在重蹈覆辙。但也正是这次糟糕的经验，把我带入到了虚拟货币的神奇世界里。回想起来，还是血赚的！

It was so amazing when something this unbelievable actually happened on you. I started studying everything about cryptocurrency. From blockchain to various altcoins, and all the knowledge that I wouldn’t even touch before this. I realized the importance of learning persistently. And it was a pleasure to discover Steemit along the way too.

Taking part in money game was a bad experience, it could destroy your network and potentially lose all your money at the end. That was my first as well as the last. But it was this bad experience bring me to this exciting new crypto world. I would say it was worthwhile though!

This page is synchronized from the post: ‘Money game bring me to the world of Bitcoin 庞氏骗局带我进入比特币的世界’

Wealth inequality is a global problem and there are so many different causes to it in different regions. Despite all the complicated political and social factors, can we really equalize the wealth? Not possible as of now. Let’s do an experiment, we create an environment with equal resources distribution, same geographical location, and a fair policy:

In a village, there are 100 villagers and 1000 chickens. For the purpose of wealth sharing, each one of them gets 10 chickens. The followings are likely to occur:

1. Some of them will kill the chicken to eat whenever they are hungry, soon they will have empty the chicken they had. They will start to exchange more chicken for food with other assets.
2. Some of them will kill the chicken to eat, but they won’t eat them all. They keep some chickens for laying eggs. The eggs will get them more chicks so that they can continue to kill the old unproductive chickens for food. Because they keep regenerating the source of food, they are self-sufficient.
3. Some of them will kill the chicken to eat whenever it is necessary. At the same time get more chicken from the others by trading. Laying for more eggs, more eggs for more chickens. Repeating that, they will have more and more chickens to start selling to those who are in need(like the people from the first point).

A few months later, 10% of the villagers own 80% of chickens, 20% own 15% of chickens, and 70% people will sharing the remaining 5% of chickens. Wealth inequality happens again.

This is how our world working now. Those who are insightful put the resources to good use instead of spending them all at once. They will keep consuming at the minimal rate and invest the difference. Everything that pays off will have a harder start, spending or investing? Reading or gaming?

On the contrary, the poors will focus solving the immediate problems. Kill the chickens for the hungry stomach, get the job when the pockets are empty. This can keep them survival too but provides no security in the future.

Suffer now for better future, or enjoy today and leave all the worries tomorrow?

贫富悬殊一直是各个国家的问题。各国国情政策不一，产生原因也各异。尚且不讨论复杂的政治社会因素，贫富悬殊可以彻底地被消除吗？以目前世界的情况来说，很难实现。假设我们创造一个环境，哪里拥有平等的社会资源分配，同样的地理条件，一视同仁的政策：

在一个村庄里有一千只鸡，人口一百。为了财富均分，每个人可以得到十只鸡。接下来会出现以下情况：

1. 有的人会在饿肚子把鸡杀来吃，很快的鸡就吃完了。他们就需要开始向还有鸡的人用其他物资交换以获取粮食。
2. 有的人会在饿肚子把鸡杀来吃，但不会一下子吃清光。留下一部分鸡继续饲养，下蛋生出新的小鸡，才把生产力下降的老鸡杀来吃。这样他们虽然不会有太多的鸡只，但因为不过度消耗资源，生活倒也自供自足。
3. 有的人只会在必要的时候把鸡杀来吃。同时也会用其他物资来像其他人换取更多的鸡只，饲养下蛋，等到更多的鸡。如此循环，他们拥有的鸡只就会持续增多，可以出售给需要的人们（第一类人）。

几个月后，可想而知的，10%的人支配了80%鸡（资产），20%的人支配15%的鸡，其余的70%的人支配剩余的5%的鸡只。贫富悬殊依然出现了。

这就是我们所在的世界，成功的人会善用身边的资源来得到更多的回报，不会一时之馋把所有鸡都吃了，相反的尽量减少花费珍贵的资源，将它们放在长远的投资上。很多会带来回报的东西开头都是没那么享受的，读书还是玩游戏？剁手还是投资？

穷人却只会关注眼前的问题，饿了就杀鸡来吃吧。好比钱没了就去打工吧，有钱了就可以先享受，把钱花完再说。过日子的确不成问题，但手停口停的日子对未来却毫无保障。三天打鱼两天晒网，怎能不会越来越穷呢。

一时的难受换取未来的安逸，还是今朝有酒今朝醉？

This page is synchronized from the post: ‘Wealth inequality is the result of humanity 贫富悬殊是人性的结果’

小时候就爱画画，但都是属于爱画就画，画到一半兴致低了就不了了之那种。其实也就是不上心，从来没有认真过。

那时候流行日本漫画，很多时候都是照着漫画来话，比如当年最红的《七龙珠》。由于画的还可以，我微小的绘画天赋被母亲发现了，小学时候就开始送我去过好几个绘画中心学画，期待我能更进一步。奈何当时候总觉得老师教的所有东西像是水彩或是素描，我都很快就上手。课堂开始老师的模板一放上来，我没两下子就画完了，当时也没觉得自己多厉害，就在课堂上到处溜达，直到放课。

还记得在我中一时上的最后一间绘画中心，那里有个小会客厅，里头有张小沙发，沙发旁是一个书柜，放满了各类书籍好让客人消磨时间，其中也有我喜爱的《老夫子》系列。那时的课程也没什么难度，我每次也都很早的完成了然后就跑去小客厅看漫画。到后来几乎看漫画几乎是我在那里的重点活动。上得山多终遇虎，有天妈妈来接我放学时看我早早就在那里看漫画。觉得家里赚钱辛苦，为了培养我的兴趣送我来上绘画班我却在这里不务正业，一气之下就把课程给断了。那也是我上过的最后一间绘画中心了。

自此妈妈就给我贴上了“不认真”的标签。之后每当我偶尔兴起作画时，也总会在旁冷言“你一定会半途而废”之类的；小时候的我偏爱素描类的画风，觉得上颜色很麻烦，各种颜料道具的，素描类的就容易多了，一支铅笔或原子笔和一张纸就可以乐趣无穷。然而妈妈总觉得一幅画没上色彩就是不完整的，也就是半途而废。虽然后来我才发现其实绘画是完全自由的，没有束缚的。也不知道她当时是真的对我失望还是处于激将法，无可否认的是这样的确造成了我的困扰。当年处于叛逆期的我很多时候心理直接就说 “好吧，我就三分钟热度给你看。” 甚至一度怀疑自己是不是只会画，不会上色？好像完成一幅画就是为了讨好谁以证明自己，叛逆的小孩是不会允许自己去迎合别人的哦。以致那段时间放下画笔很久，因为整个过程有压力了，不有趣了。

后来慢慢放下小时候对会绘画的种种不正确的观念，网路发达了，牛人见得多了，对艺术的理解更深刻了，明白了自己作画的真谛就是 “自己爽”。一支笔乃至一张树叶都可以是作画的武器，美和不美也完全是主观的，每幅作品中有人弹，也一定有人赞。那时候起就不再有证明自己的想法，不需要这么做，因为也不吃这行饭。只想不断的开发新的画风，素材和技术。

有没试过当做一件自己喜欢的事的时候，仿佛进入了 “精神时间屋”。明明感觉才过了一会，外面的世界已经过去了好几个小时，作画于我正是如此。从收集素材到构图，上色到修改，整个过程真会让我不自觉的过了一大半天。长大了有经济能力了，我也开始投资较为高档的绘画用具。有些用具的价格稍微高了点，只要觉得需要的我都在所不惜。因为真正有价值的不是那些颜料画笔，而是经由它们所产生的艺术品。

认真的做一件事情是专注而心无旁骛的，绘画又回到开始的单纯快乐了。

可惜以前还没养成收录的习惯，以至有许多都是边画边丢，不然现在一一看回去应该会很有趣。以下是一些以前到现在的作品。

Drawing is my biggest hobby since I was a kid. But I wasn’t really into it. I draw when the mood come and stop whenever it stop interested me. I was good at drawing the Japan manga, Dragon Ball was my favorite. My mom spotted my talent and thought that I can use some help from art classes to develop my skills.
So in the class drawing, I was. I always thought the assignments given by the tutor was too easy for me. Every time I was the quickest to finish my drawing and I would stroll around the class.

One day I spotted there was a comic corner at the living room. My interest soon got attracted and since then, I finished my assignment on the class quickly just for reading more comics on the couch. Until my mom caught me bloody-handed as I made the drawing class’s fee that she paid worthless. That was my last art class ever.

Since that day, whenever I occasionally started to draw, my mom would keep doubting if I can finish it. As she thought I wasn’t serious into this art stuffs. She would challenge me to finish it. But her tactic didn’t work as I was so rebellious back then. And I stopped drawing for a long time because it was not fun anymore.

As I’m growing, I started to correct my misunderstanding towards the attitude of art. Creating an art should be free and fun. It can be any form of materials and styles. The truth is, I felt like I don’t have to do it to please anyone. As soon as I realized this, art creation becomes fun again. From the material collecting to sketching, coloring to framing. I could not feel the ticking of the time when a few hours was actually slipped away.

Doing something so serious that you throw whole mind and body into it wholeheartedly, and anything could be enjoyable.

I have this hanged on my living hall, appetizing isn’t it?

开始工作的头两年，每次放工都如大赦回家尽情的‘放松’。无非就是刷Facebook，追连续剧，上steam打游戏等。现在回想起来那段日子真的是毫无目标啊，那么多美好的光阴就浪费在了那些毫无营养的事情上。

对于那段游手好闲的日子还有个印象最深刻的记忆。还记得那是个忙碌的星期五，身边的同事不经意的问起 “诶，这个long weekend打算怎么过啊？” 我蒙了 “什么long weekend?” “你不知道吗，下个星期一二是公共假期。” 面对为期四天的假期突如其来的降临，心里第一个念头却是“完了”。茫然，因为完全没准备没计划也不知要干些什么来应付这长长地周末。现在也想不起当时都把时间花在哪里了，但肯定也是虚度光阴的成分居多。

还好我不再是那个时候的我了。

During my first 2 years of working life, every knocks off from office was like an amnesty for me to do whatever I want. To be precise, it was scrolling Facebook, chasing TV series, and PC gaming. I was living without a purpose to an extent that once my colleague asked me “Hey, what do you plan to do on this long weekend?” I was confused “What long weekend?” “Oh, you didn’t know? The next Monday and Tuesday are public holiday.” Surprised by a ‘free’ holiday like that the first thing came to my mind was “Oh sh*t”. Because I was so clueless and had no any plans to get through the long weekend. Can’t recall how I made through that weekend but pretty sure nothing meaningful works were done.

Glad that I’m no more that bored guy.

身边活生生浪费时间的例子 The living example of wasting time around you

马六甲某商场 Taken from a mall from Melaka

有没试过去一些冷门的商场逛逛？玲琅满目的摊子，门可罗雀的人流。顾摊子的不懂是摊主还是请回来的员工，几乎都在盯着手机看。不难发现其实他们不在乎都是在打游戏，看视频和刷社交软体。

我不禁在想，他们怎么不利用这样好的机会做些有意义的东西呢？你可能会说，他们受雇主的薪水就应该忠雇主之事。但他们这不也在打游戏？我中学时期也干过类似的兼职。一天下来你需要做的无非打开摊子摆摆货，中间有顾客就做些买卖，没人时最多点货补货，然后就是收档打烊了。尤其在非旺区，这些打工的几乎会自备‘节目’来杀时间。

马六甲某商场 Taken from a mall from Melaka

Ever been to some unpopular malls to see most workers of the deserted stalls staring at their phone?

They could have used that free time on something else useful. You might say, they are hired to work not for the other stuff. But they are playing games on their phone anyway don’t they? I was in the same shoe when I was a teenager. This kind of part-time job is so boring that you have to prepare your own entertainment to kill the time, especially in the unloved zone.

不打游戏，那干什么呢？ What to do if not gaming?

• 看书:增广见闻
• 在自己有兴趣的领域磨练技巧，如学习coding，学习交易策略，学外语。
• 看有营养的视频，如Ted talk
• 甚至是加入Steemit，开始写作(当然他们很可能也不知道Steemit的存在)

还有很多用一个笔记本甚至手机就能做到的事情，就举例不尽了。或许你也会觉得我在打工的时候做这些有些太疯狂吧，这当然得视情况而定，如果你的工作闷得让你不得不做些事情来打发时间，那为何不做些有益处的？

Reading books, learning some skills like coding or new languages, watch educational videos like Ted Talk, or ever join Steemit and start blogging(they probably won’t realize the existence of Steemit already), and more. It takes a huge ambition for someone to be that self-improving. Learning is not easy, not everyone has a difficult goal in life.

珍惜时间 Cherish the time

我并不反对玩手机，反而认为偶尔的放松是必要的。只是那些都必须是有目的性的和受控制的。这不是自以为上进，也不是有什么优越感。只是以一个曾经无度浪费时间的过来人的身份，偶有感悟而已。冷发兄@coldhair的《聊一聊工作后的学习》写的很好，犀利的指出坚持学习的重要性，实在是不能同意更多。

其实需要有如此强的学习心的人一定有个远大的目标，不会甘于只做些令人闷得发慌的工作，领那最低薪资。反之，我有我打工轻轻松松，刷刷手机就下班，还有工资拿，这样的美差事去哪里找。这两种思想没有对错，只是看你最终想要到达哪个目的地。

I’m not against gaming nor any form of entertainment to pass time. But those needed to be in control. Make good use of the time, always.

After all, there is no wrong or right, only which direction you are willing to head to.

This page is synchronized from the post: ‘利用时间，别打发时间 Don’’t kill the time, Make use of it’

自三个月前接触了数码货币之后，生活发生了可谓翻天覆地的变化。由开始的地域搬砖（geographical arbitrage), 无时无刻想关注市场的价格波动;到现在发现了Steemit，终于有个很好的理由开始之前打算了很久的写作计划。然而开始要持续的写作是有点难度的，我明白习惯的养成再于坚持，所以规定了自己每两天必须至少有一次输出。

Life has been changed for a great deal after involving in the world of cryptocurrency. Starting from arbitrage trading, to develop a new habit of blogging in Steemit.

出售前一刻，永在缅怀中

为了更好更有效的货币操作和满足我有个梦幻游戏设备的虚荣心，我甚至卖掉了相依为命两年的游戏本，升级桌面式台机，这钱花的就是爽！换了人生的第一个机械键盘的确也让打字更舒服，写作更顺畅。与此同时也发现这几个月已经大大减少了逛闲街的次数，因为有太多的事情去做了。“有时间不如写篇文章”是我这一阵子的思想状态，还是多亏了Steemit。

To perform better in coin trading and monitoring, I’ve sold away my 2 years old notebook for a performance desktop machine. Typing on my first mechanical keyboard does help the new blogging life a lot. I’ve been cutting down the frequency of a leisure walk in the mall, because spending that time on a new blog is in the higher priority now.

但我不能一直和电脑一起 But I can’t always stick with my desktop

由于我在外地工作（新加坡）， 每个月总有几天需要回家乡（马来西亚）。刚换的台式电脑得到强劲性能的同时，也完全失去了之前笔记本的便携性。往来两地，唯有手机随身矣。虽然手机在操作市场和写作上还勉强可以凑合，但也实在是很不方便。

Since I’m working in Singapore, I often travel back to my hometown, Malaysia few times in a month. Traded the portability of notebook with try performance of desktop pc, smartphone is the only device travel with me now. Trading and blogging on it is such a struggling mission.

于是就有了买平板电脑的想法 The thought of buying an tablet kicks in

Microsoft Surface 是目前的最佳人选。融合了两大优点于一身：屏幕大，让交易操作更容易，windows也可以轻松处理多重任务；可加载键盘，让写作更有效率。

而且还有电子笔和触屏特性组合也可以让我开始学习最学很久的数码艺术（digital art)。一举多得啊。

A tablet have a big screen makes trading a breeze and try detachable keyboard would type better than on the phone. Furthermore I can start to pick up the long-wanted skill in digital art. Microsoft Surface series is a great match so far.

但是花钱不能这样任性 But we shouldn’t at our free will

之前在Quora上看过一个很好的分享：

在你决定买一样东西之前，就算你可以直接买下，也不要这么做。相反的，你应该现在就开始存钱，直到够钱为止。

这样做的好处是：

有效的阻止冲动购物。很多的直接购物行为都免不了冲动的成分。很多人一定试过，在购物广场看上的某件很喜欢的货物，二话不说就买下了，到后来才发现其实没什么用处。这样的‘存钱才买’方式就是解药。等到你存够了钱，发烧的脑袋已经冷静了不少，到时就会再度考虑自己是否真的需要这东西：依然想买的话，很大成分这就是你真正需要的东西；否则，你就无端存起了一笔钱。无论如何获利的都是自己。

This is a random wise advice from Quora:

When you have got a new stuff to buy, don’t buy it even you can afford it right now. Instead, start saving up for it.

By doing so, good chances you can eliminate the potential impulsive spending. We bought what we wanted during causal shopping and regret with the purchases after some days. To stop wasting money on impulsive shopping the key is not to act the moment we would like to own that item. Make it a goal and start saving towards it.

Two things is gonna happen when you have enough money: if you still want to buy it, likely you are really needing it; if you lost the interest already, congratulation that you have just skipping the unnecessary spending at the same time accumulated small wealth in the pocket!

所以我也设定了一个有趣的存钱方式 So I came up with a interesting way to save up

那就是我在Steemit的收入必须达到购买Surface同等的数目的时侯，才可以出手购买。这样除了可以给我动力继续不断的创作，到时赚到了目标收入时也可以再度审核此刻的购物欲是否理智的。因为我自己也觉得购买平板电脑这件事上，冲动的成分还是居多的，哈哈！

当然这方式还是适合非必需品的购物居多。譬如好基友@we1even身为摄影发烧友，想升级相机很久了，就给自己定下个目标，说是必须要在任何一个摄影比赛中获奖时才能让自己下手买新相机。这未尝不是一个好方法，至少到现在为止他都还没获奖。可能近来都买忙碌事业无暇参赛还是什么别的原因，相信他当初炽热的心目前应该冷静了不少。这样的方式有效的减少了他冲动购物的成分不是吗？

控制冲动购物欲，给自己一个目标去达成梦想，无论是购物还是做某件事情，结果都会是充满成就感的。你最近有什么想买的啊？开始存钱吧！

To buy that Surface, I must earn the equivalent amount on Steemit. This strategy not only can motivate me to keep writing, I will be able to reassess the need of a tablet. As I’m suspicious this is likely to be another impulsive buying, haha!

Have anything to buy? Start saving now.

This page is synchronized from the post: ‘购物的正确方式 Say no to impulsive buying’

那天突发奇想假设了一个情况问问身边的人：有一个A货，现在市价3000元。今晚00：00时，A货拥有者可以免费得到相等数量的新B货，然而B货的价格却没人可以预知。而B货的出现也会让A货的价格动荡不已，可能往上飙也可能不停的掉。

在这样的前提下，有两种情况：

1）要是你已经拥有5个A货，你会如何做？

2）要是你一个A货都没有，而手上有可调用的15000元投资现金，你会如何做？

各位看官看到这里恐怕早就猜到了我对比的就是八月初的Bitcoin（A货）分裂Bitcoin Cash（B货）的情况了。

我拿这个问题问了些许身边对虚拟货币不认识的人，想看看‘局外人’对这一有趣的情况会做出怎样的选择。

情况（1）：
在持有5个A货的情况下，很多人都会选择卖掉二到三个A货，剩下的拿来等B货派发，然后看市场情况。走安全路线的话，这样的选择实在是无可厚非也很理智的。

情况（2）：
在不持有A货的情况下，出乎我意料的只有少数人愿意乘着这个机会入手A货以得到免费的B货。可能我的访问对象都刚好偏向保守派吧。

我个人在投资上是属于激进派的。总觉得还年轻嘛，就该勇于冒险，去争取最大的回报，大不了输光，还有的是时间东山再起。记得分裂之前我持有三个BTC吧，手上也还持有点现金，当时候也在犹豫要不要放掉一些。当时BTC的价格短期内是往上飙的，然后就有很多声音说这是因为很多人想得到免费的BTH而入场导致的，意味着分裂后多数投机者都会卖掉BTC以短暂获利，总而让BTC价格大跌。最后还是决定什么都不做，后来也证明这把赌对了。

当时侯有个朋友，就是处在情况（2）。手上持有可以购买2-3个BTC的现金，犹豫不决要不要进场，最终还是觉得分裂之后一定暴跌到时才捡便宜吧。结果大家也知道了，BTC一路高歌猛进，再也没有回去过那个价位。他可是天天心痛不已，毕竟BTC的溢价和免费BTH都像青春鸟儿一去不回来。

把这种难得的分裂情况应用在真实世界的货物市场上，又会有另一番新思考，实在是有趣。

当时候你是怎么做的呢？

Providing facts as below:

There is an object A with market price $3000. Tonight at 00:00, the owner of A will be given the equivalent amount of new object B. No one can predict the price of B and because the appearance of B, the price of A will fluctuate aggressively.

In the given facts, we have 2 questions:

1)If you already have 5 A, what will you do?

2)If you don’t have any A, but with a $15000 investment fund in hand, what will you do?

You might probably know I’m describing the BTC fork at the 1st August. I took this question to those who aren’t familiar with cryptocurrency and the result is kinda interesting.

1) Withhold of 5 A, most of them will sell off 2-3 A and use the rest to claim the free B. This decision is obvious and reasonable to me, reduce the risk yet maintain the position to get more reward.

2) Without holding any A, surprisingly only a few are willing to take this chance to buy some A to claim the free B. Maybe my access objects are conservative.

I’m a proud aggressive investor. I’m young and I’m willing to take higher risk for greater reward. Back in the time before the fork, I had 3 BTC and I decided to leave it be,luckily it turned out to be I won the bet.

A friend of mine was exactly in the condition (2). Holding some cash equal to 3 BTC, considering whether to buy the BTC before the fork or not. Finally, he bet that the price will sure crash since there was a huge rumor saying the recent surge of BTC was due to man buy-in for the ‘BTH lottery. He holds the cash through the fork and regretted huge time. The price spiked and never return to where it was before the fork.

Sometimes it is so fun to apply rare crypto phenomena in the real life. You may make a different decision if it wasn’t a cryptocurrency but some physical goods.

What was your decision during the fork?

image from news.bitcoin.com

This page is synchronized from the post: ‘激进派还是保守派 Conservative or Aggressive’